What are the odds the Yankees win the Wild Card?

What’s the chance the Yankees and manager Aaron Boone win the American League Wild Card and advance to the AL Division Series? Well …

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MINNEAPOLIS — Better than a coin flip.

That’s how Fangraphs sees the Yankees‘ chances at winning the American League Wild Card and advancing to the AL Division Series.

The website pegs the Yankees chances at reaching the best-of-five round at 60.2 percent.

It puts Oakland at 42.8 percent.

Yankees on wild card lead shrinking

The Yankees and the A’s appear to be barreling toward a Wild Card showdown. The Yankees have a two-game lead on Oakland for the right to host the game, and they own the season series, which is the tiebreaker.

So it’s kind of a three-game advantage for the Yankees, who fell, 10-5, to the Twins on Tuesday while the A’s beat the Orioles, 3-2.

Here’s Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre’s press release on their playoff win last night:

MOOSIC, Pa. (Sept. 11-12, 2018) – Weathering a nearly three-hour rain delay, the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders held off the Durham Bulls 3-2 on Wednesday morning at PNC Field. The RailRiders have a 1-0 lead over the Bulls in the best-of-five Governor’s Cup Championship Series.

Yankees react to shrinking WC lead

Domingo German made his return to the mound for the RailRiders and was terrific. The only blemish he allowed in 3.0 innings was a two-out double to Austin Meadows in the top of the first, while striking out five Bulls.

In the top of the fifth Durham took a 1-0 lead when they loaded the bases with no outs against Justus Sheffield. The southpaw induced a double play from Jake Cronenworth for the first two outs, but Nate Lowe scampered home to score the contest’s first run.

The RailRiders wasted no time in striking back in the bottom of the fifth against Ryan Weber. Wilkin Castillo and Mark Payton collected back-to-back one-out singles, and Bruce Caldwell followed with a two-run double to put the RailRiders on top. After a Giovanny Urshela groundout and a walk to Mike Ford, Ryan McBroom laced a base hit into left, plating Caldwell and extending the SWB lead to 3-1.

Former RailRider Rob Refsnyder connected for a solo home run against David Sosebee to narrow the gap to 3-2. He escaped the inning without further trouble, and Cale Coshow and Joe Harvey combined to toss a scoreless top of the eighth.

In the bottom of the eighth McBroom drew a walk to lead off the inning, and Zack Zehner ran a 2-2 count against Ian Gibaut when the rain intensified and the game entered a two-hour, 59-minute rain delay. When the game resumed, the RailRiders were retired in the eighth.

George Kontos walked Lowe leading off the top of the ninth but settled down to retire the side on three flyouts to close out the victory. Sheffield (1-0) earned the win while Weber (0-2) was charged with the loss.

Brendan Kuty may be reached at [email protected]. Follow him on Twitter @BrendanKutyNJ. Find NJ.com Yankees on Facebook.